Probability of divorce from NoMarriage.com
Probability of divorce
1. PER CAPITA ANNUAL. The last-reported U.S. divorce rate for a calendar year is 0.40% per capita per year, the provisional estimate for the year 2001 from the National Center for Health Statistics. Since every divorce involves two people, the percentage becomes somewhat more meaningful if you double it. A rate per married people, instead of per straight population, would be even more helpful. Source: Monthly Vital Statistics Report, Vol. 50, No. 14. This rate is only for the states that keep track of the number of divorces. California, Colorado, Indiana and Louisiana do not. These per capita rates are computed by comparing current state reports of divorces granted by state courts with estimates of state population numbers from the 1990 census. [Not actual 1990 numbers, but estimates of current-year numbers based on the 1990 Census.] When they start using more accurate numbers from the 2000 census, that may cause a significant "change" in per capita divorce rates. U.S. Per Capita Divorce Rates Every Year 1940-1990 Since 1990: 1991, 0.47% 1992, 0.48% 1993, 0.46% 1994, 0.46% 1995, 0.46% 1995, 0.43% 1997, 0.43%, 1998, 0.42%, 1999, 0.41%, 2000, 0.41%, 2001, 0.40%, (Mostly from NCHS, some from Census Bureau's Statistical Abstract of the U.S., which often differs from NCHS by 0.01%)
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